All-Bets Miscalculation

Yuuichi’s strategy begins when he gives the players in the sold room a contract to sign regarding a bet on who can guess what order the teams in the end game will be based on their money, and the “final order” will be when 2 or more of the people who take part in the bet confirm the scores. SCAN In terms of the sold players that were present when the bet was happening, Kaido had 3 players in there, Mishima had 2, Kamishiro had 2, and Yuuichi’s team had 3 including Yuuichi himself. There are 24 possible outcomes for the end game scores based on pure randomness, but Yuuichi likely assumed that it was obvious that every player would choose a bet of their team being in the top ranks, meaning each player had around 4% chance to be correct (otherwise 30-50% if they guaranteed their own team won), so there would be no overlapping, making up a total of 32% chance that a correct guess is made, this is excluding Yuuichi himself whose team didn’t know about his plan and therefore likely voted in the same manner as the other players. Yuuichi’s own prediction was: Kaidou > Kamishiro > Mishima > Katagiri This is a dangerous position since it means Kaidou’s team has a 50% chance of guessing correctly after Yuuichi carries out his strategy, this will spell a loss-con that Yuuichi didn’t consider later. SCAN It must be pointed out that a simple logical conclusion could’ve been made with common sense for the sold players to know Yuuichi was scamming them: a guy with a value of 0 walks …