Kimura Kei's Bid Poker strategy FULL BREAKDOWN analysis

r/IntelligenceScaling - Kimura Kei's Bid Poker strategy FULL BREAKDOWN analysis expanded upon https://docs.google.com/document/d/1uDIKfBp6ve-NqcbcIk8eR_IvrIDPyNPSlMUPXSzrjXY/edit?tab=t.0#heading=h.9u7mzqlx59hd As soon as the lots were revealed, Kimura had already mapped out a sophisticated strategy, looking beyond the value of individual pairs and immediately analyzing the combinations that could be formed across multiple lots. P1: Every revealed lot contains at least one pair. Lot C contains a pair of Aces, while Lot A contains a pair of 10s. P2: Lot C contains the strongest pair among the revealed lots, making it the most attractive choice if players evaluate the lots solely according to the value of their existing pairs. P3: Lots B and D contain additional 10s, while Lot A already contains a pair of 10s. P4: Lot B contains 10-J-K, while Lot C contains 9-Q. Cards from Lots B and C therefore form 9-10-J-Q-K, a straight. C1: Based on P1 through P4, Kimura identifies two potential routes: collecting all four 10s by securing Lot A and the lots containing the remaining 10s, or combining Lots B and C to form a straight. Contextual insight Kimura immediately recognizes that Lot C is the most attractive choice under conventional pair-based evaluation because a pair of Aces is naturally stronger than a pair of 10s. However, she also identifies a more valuable long-term possibility: collecting all four 10s to form four-of-a-kind. At the same time, Kimura notices that Lots B and C …